【房屋】读报:预购组屋若需求强烈 明年每月或推出一项目

雨茜 LV13
2009-11-25 · 4294 阅读
本帖最后由 老鼠爱小米 于 25-11-2009 21:22 编辑

联合早报 2009年11月24日

马宝山:预购组屋若需求强烈 明年每月或推出一项目

如果公众对预购组屋(BTO)的需求依然强烈,建屋发展局明年还是会在该计划下推出更多组屋——有必要的话,它每月将推出至少一个BTO项目。


  国家发展部长马宝山昨天在国会上回答李美花(宏茂桥集选区)有关目前有多少个BTO组屋单位的提问时说,建屋局今年最后一季把BTO的供应增加到5000个单位,加上10月推出“剩余组屋销售计划”,建屋局三个月内推出7000个BTO组屋单位,全年的供应则是1万3500个。

  “这是武吉班让或白沙镇一半的组屋数目,按这个进度,建屋局只要两年就可提供足以填满另一个武吉班让或白沙的组屋单位。”

  他指出,建屋局能在需求高时快速增加供应量,例如,它今年初鉴于经济严重衰退,只计划提供6000个组屋单位,但下半年经济回弹刺激了需求,建屋局就快速地把组屋供应提高50%,并打算继续在BTO计划下按需求提供更多组屋。

  回答潘惜玉(阿裕尼集选区)有关如何预估新组屋供应时,马宝山透露,未来五年,预计每年需要供应1万至1万2000个组屋单位,以满足需求。不过他强调,那只是个预估数字,根据经济情况和其他因素,组屋需求每年都有所浮动。

  他重申,建屋局只在一定数目的购屋者确定会购买组屋单位后,才开始兴建该组屋项目,慎防导致庞大组屋库存的问题。他说,1997年亚洲金融风暴时,15万名排队购屋者几乎一夜之间就流失,以致建屋局累积了3万1000个售不出去的组屋单位。

  然而,按需求建组屋并不意味着政府没有“缓冲计划”。由于BTO项目一般在七成的单位有人预购就展开兴建,当项目完成并推出时,三成的剩余组屋就可推到市场出售。加上其他诸如整体重建计划(SERS)等剩余的组屋单位,有大约2000个组屋单位在今年的剩余组屋销售计划下出售。

  马宝山昨天也针对备受关注的首次购屋者情况再做回应,指出当局近期把优先保留给首次购屋者选购的新组屋单位比率,从90%提高到95%。此外,2007年至今年的BTO项目中,96%的首次购屋者在第二次申请时就有机会选择组屋单位。

重申政府承诺
“我要重申政府对提供足够可负担得起组屋的承诺,我们会协助年轻夫妇购买第一个组屋单位,但他们也要做好本分。要更快拥有新组屋,就要为住在更新的组屋区做好准备,并提早规划。”


  至于建筑组屋的成本,马宝山说,由于土地和建筑成本等不尽相同,榜鹅三房式组屋的建造成本大约是23万元,而中峇鲁五房式组屋则是53万元。他重申组屋售价不以成本外加盈利为基础,而是在市场价格的基础上,提供优惠。

  房地产公司博纳(PropNex)集团总裁伊斯迈(MohamedIsmail)认为,虽然在未来五年,每年供应1万至1万2000个组屋单位是足够的,但如果经济复苏理想,更多新加坡人找到待遇更高或更稳定的工作,或者永久居民人数增加,对转售组屋的需求就更高。这些都可能把转售组屋的溢价(COV)推高,新婚夫妇恐怕难以承担高溢价,政府就得相应推出高于预估供应的新组屋单位。
http://www.zaobao.com/sp/sp091124_005.shtml

The Straits Times, 24 Nov 2009

Up to 12,000 flats yearly to meet growing demand


THE Housing Board expects to offer between 10,000 and 12,000 flats every year over the next five years to meet growing demand, National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan said yesterday.

That will serve as a guide for HDB's build-to-order (BTO) scheme, with the actual number made available depending on market conditions.

'What actually happens a few years down the road is unknown. Also, demand is not constant - it varies from year to year, depending on economic and other factors,' he told Parliament.

Taking questions from members on housing issues, he noted that HDB had responded swiftly to this year's spike in demand, by raising its planned supply of 6,000 flats for the year to 13,500.

'If the take-up of BTO flats remains strong, we will continue to push out more flats under BTO next year - at least one (project) every month if necessary,' said Mr Mah.

While HDB does not have a policy of keeping vacant flats as a buffer, it nonetheless has a supply of flats that are ready for occupation, he disclosed. Such flats make up about 10per cent of all new flats.

He was responding to a query from MP Cynthia Phua (Aljunied GRC), who asked whether HDB could consider keeping a stock of ready flats for families who were in urgent need of a home.

'Although I have said that we do not plan for a buffer, in actual fact there is a buffer of flats over and above the BTO (flats) which are available and have shorter waiting times,' said Mr Mah.

These available flats are leftovers from other HDB schemes - such as the Selective En-bloc Redevelopment Scheme and surplus BTO flats - which are sold under HDB's sales of balance flats exercise.

Ready flats are hugely popular because buyers do not have to wait to move in. This is in contrast to the BTO scheme, under which buyers typically have to wait three to four years.

Touching on the issue of cost, Mr Mah said that the total cost of flats varied according to 'when we build, where we build and what we build'.

It included the cost of land, construction and ancillary services, and varied from $230,000 for a three-room flat in Punggol to $530,000 for a five-room one in Tiong Bahru.

He reiterated that HDB does not price its flats based on cost plus profit, but on a market price with a generous discount.

The selling price was sometimes more than total development cost and at other times, it was less than the cost - especially when construction costs are high, which has been the case over the past few years.

'Overall, HDB incurs a large deficit in building and selling flats every year, as reflected in its audited annual accounts. In its financial year from 2008 to 2009, HDB incurred a deficit of $1.5 billion for the home ownership programme alone,' he added.

First-time buyers were assured that there would be sufficient affordable housing.

HDB recently increased the proportion of flats set aside for first-timers from 90 to 95 per cent. And first-timers are 96 per cent likely to be given a chance to select a flat within two tries, he said.

Mr Mah said he was prepared to look into the cases of those who were unsuccessful after three tries, to see how HDB could help.

Analysts said yesterday the planned flat supply over the next five years would help ease demand.

'This is a marked increase in planned supply, so it's good for the market. The question going forward, is how will HDB more accurately gauge demand,' said Chesterton Suntec International's research and consultancy director, Mr Colin Tan.

http://www.asiabuilders.com/asia ... ind_ctry_code=conSG

读读更健康。
未来5年的房地产市场很是令人期待啊!~
对一个准备买房的人来说,无疑这是一个让人兴奋的消息~
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雨茜 LV13

发表于 25-11-2009 13:05:51 | 显示全部楼层

本帖最后由 雨茜 于 25-11-2009 17:17 编辑

解读:
先占个楼,晚上接着写感想。
现在得做工去了。

____________分割线______________
个人以为,新加坡政府做的这个举动能一石三鸟:
1) 稳定房市
HDB一直作为新加坡房市的坚实堡垒,坚不可摧,政府完全有效地运用这个调节市场。
为什么是增加BTO项目呢?
技术层面讲,现在的HDB已经几乎卖光了嘛,政府没有什么库存了。如果不建新的,资金就会一直在有限的房屋套数里打转,二手HDB价格就会继续高企,没有房子卖了,所以就修新的呗。
众所周知一手房和二手房的价差巨大,只要是公民,大家都想要能够买一手房。只要一手房容易买到了,谁还愿意去二手市场买高价呢?分流了一批人到一手市场以后,二手市场的需求就减少了。供需关系下,二手市场的价格就稳住了。

2)安抚新加坡公民
哪个族群买二手HDB的最多?PR呗。如果政府直接出政策刺激二手HDB市场,公民受惠肯定比PR小。这种事情,政府不会干。

3)诱惑PR加公民
我们辛辛苦苦攒钱买二手HDB的PR们,在看到大量的一手组屋出台,肯定会有很多人心动的。现在政府不是觉得新加坡的外来人口太多了,需要消化么?好,这就是有一颗糖衣炮弹打出来,让为房发愁的PR乖乖申请公民吧.

angel_luo LV5

发表于 25-11-2009 13:16:25 | 显示全部楼层

还是那句话,要等四五年,我不愿等

sysg LV11

发表于 25-11-2009 13:30:07 | 显示全部楼层

这里大多是PR 吧。BTO 还是要等好几年,很难兴奋啊

雨茜 LV13

发表于 25-11-2009 17:20:24 | 显示全部楼层

这里大多是PR 吧。BTO 还是要等好几年,很难兴奋啊
sysg 发表于 25-11-2009 13:30


呵呵,我身边好多朋友正在或者已经申请公民,准备买房子。
为他们高兴~

whataday LV10

发表于 25-11-2009 17:25:09 | 显示全部楼层

本帖最后由 whataday 于 25-11-2009 17:26 编辑

现在的一手房和二手房根本没有差别巨大。我们的房子4房,估价34万左右,边上新开的BTO,2011年交房,一手的价钱是30万左右。完全亲身经验,边上BTO认购的时候,我说我卖掉现在这套换一套一样大小的,正好赚个装修费。

靚剑 LV15

发表于 25-11-2009 17:29:37 | 显示全部楼层

呵呵,我身边好多朋友正在或者已经申请公民,准备买房子。
为他们高兴~ ...
雨茜 发表于 25-11-2009 17:20



    建屋发展局卖的越多,政府越高兴。

goldenstar LV5

发表于 25-11-2009 17:29:52 | 显示全部楼层

其实供求关系并没有显著增加...

组屋房价高企不下,一方面是由于供不应求... 早几年大量闲置空房的地区,现在都被抢购一空...

1年1万套多吗?

96-97年的时候,每年HDB都是推出1万套以上组屋入市... 现在就算打平... 当时新加坡号称300万人(其实还不到)... 现在是?

政府这几年为了销出积压地区房屋,对供求问题作壁上观... 才使房价节节攀升...

whataday LV10

发表于 25-11-2009 17:33:17 | 显示全部楼层

2手房子的估价不会下调,否则,现在30万买HDB一手4房的公民,等他们卖出来的时候,估价要是少于30万,你看他们会不会吵翻天。

goldenstar LV5

发表于 25-11-2009 17:36:35 | 显示全部楼层

2手房子的估价不会下调,否则,现在30万买HDB一手4房的公民,等他们卖出来的时候,估价要是少于30万,你看 ...
whataday 发表于 25-11-2009 17:33


这个就多虑了... 房价有涨有跌... 98新加坡私宅HDB都是深度下跌... 用了整整10年的时间才回到97的价位...
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